Market Update: A Dynamic Landscape from January to July 2023

by David Mathewes

The real estate market underwent significant shifts between January to July 2023, as seen through critical statistics such as Odds of Selling, Active Units, Showings to Contracts, and price reductions. This market update will take a closer look at these changes and explore their implications for buyers and sellers. 

Odds of Selling

The Odds of Selling, a metric demonstrating the likelihood of homes being sold in the current market, showed a marked increase from 48.1% in the first week of January to 56.7% in the third week of July. This uptrend suggests an improving seller's market over these seven months, indicating sellers found it increasingly easier to sell their properties.

Active Units

Active units, or the number of houses on the market, decreased from 4,477 in the first week of January to 5,599 by mid-July. The increase in supply may have contributed to the improved odds of selling as more options were available to potential buyers, driving up competition and consequently, sales.

Showings to Contracts

The Showings to Contracts ratio, a measure of the number of showings needed before a deal is made, remained fairly consistent, hovering around the 3-4 range over the seven months. This steadiness indicates that despite fluctuations in other market aspects, buyers' decision-making patterns have remained relatively stable.

Price Reductions

Price reductions have seen a decrease from the first week of January to mid-July, with a reduction in the median price by $44,639 (6.4%) at the start of the year to a decrease of $41,675 (5.2%) by the third week of July. This lesser decrease suggests that market prices are slowly stabilizing and we might be moving towards a more balanced market.

Days Until Equilibrium

The market balance, reflected in the Days Until Equilibrium, fluctuated over this period. There was a decrease from 119 days in early January to 100 days by mid-July. This reduction implies the market is stabilizing more quickly, hinting towards a more balanced environment between buyers and sellers.

Overall Trends and Predictions

While these shifts point towards a more balanced market in the future, it's essential to note that real estate is a multifaceted industry influenced by various factors. The current trends suggest an improving environment for both buyers and sellers. The increase in Active Units indicates more choices for potential buyers, while the rise in the Odds of Selling shows that sellers are finding success in this dynamic landscape. As we progress into the latter half of 2023, it will be interesting to see how these trends evolve and shape the real estate landscape.

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David Mathewes

Realtor | License ID: 100013250

+1(303) 898-0598

1499 W 120th Suite 110, Westminster, CO, 80234, United States

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